TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 29, 5:53 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Lapalu and Arvid Nordquist in the ITF Men Dublin, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Lapalu' if Valentin Lapalu advances against Arvid Nordquist. This market will resolve to 'Arvid Nordquist' if Arvid Nordquist advances against Valentin Lapalu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Lapalu and Arvid Nordquist in the ITF Men Dublin, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Lapalu' if Valentin Lapalu advances against Arvid Nordquist. This market will resolve to 'Arvid Nordquist' if Arvid Nordquist advances against Valentin Lapalu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to unique trader dynamics and liquidity conditions. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on broader public betting trends and sharp money, prediction markets reflect the aggregated views and positions of active participants on Polymarket. This can lead to variations in implied probabilities, especially as new information emerges closer to the match.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders manually set prices through buying and selling shares, which determines the current odds displayed. The top outcome’s implied chance reflects the inverse of its price, showing what the majority of participants believe is most likely. Market depth and recent trades influence these prices, and they can shift quickly based on new insights or betting patterns.
This market resolves around Aug 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market accordingly based on publicly available records. No further interpretation or external judgment is needed beyond confirming the final score or result from trusted sources.
Injuries, weather updates, or changes in player form could shift this market as the match nears. Media reports, practice updates, and betting trends on Polymarket may also influence trader sentiment. Any new information that alters perceptions of each player’s chances can cause rapid price adjustments, especially with limited time remaining before resolution.