TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sophia Holod and Sophie Llewellyn in the ITF Women Decatur, originally scheduled for June 10, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sophia Holod' if Sophia Holod advances against Sophie Llewellyn. This market will resolve to 'Sophie Llewellyn' if Sophie Llewellyn advances against Sophia Holod. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often reflect a crowd-sourced consensus that can diverge from traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs directly. For the Holod vs Llewellyn match, comparing Polymarket prices to major sportsbooks reveals whether the crowd sees value the books have missed, particularly around player matchup dynamics and recent ITF form.
On Polymarket, the Holod vs Llewellyn match is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell outcome shares. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each player outcome has an implied probability derived from the current bid-ask spread and order depth. As match details emerge—such as surface preference, recent tournament results, or injury updates—traders adjust their positions, moving the price to reflect new expectations about who will win the ITF Decatur event.
The market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 17, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the match between Sophia Holod and Sophie Llewellyn at the ITF Decatur tournament. The outcome is based on the winner declared by the ITF and confirmed through official tournament records, ensuring that traders have clarity on which player prevailed in the completed match.
Key catalysts include recent tournament results and ranking updates for both players, injury announcements or fitness concerns, head-to-head history and tactical matchup analysis, court surface conditions at Decatur, and any changes to draw seeding or scheduling. Player statements about form or confidence, coaching changes, and performance in warm-up events leading into Decatur will all influence trader sentiment. Real-time match updates during play will also drive final price adjustments as the event unfolds.