TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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ITF Decatur: Maria Sholokhova vs Anna Rogers
polymarket
kalshi

ITF Decatur: Maria Sholokhova vs Anna Rogers

Volume:
$1,042,922

Maria Sholokhova

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 12:11 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Maria Sholokhova

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$617,341
N/A
N/A
$352,874
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Decatur: Maria Sholokhova vs Anna Rogers

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,329
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Decatur: Maria Sholokhova vs Anna Rogers Set 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Decatur: Maria Sholokhova vs Anna Rogers Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Anna Rogers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$419,211
N/A
N/A
$172,082
Settled
No
polymarket

ITF Decatur: Maria Sholokhova vs Anna Rogers Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Decatur: Maria Sholokhova vs Anna Rogers Match O/U 22.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Decatur: Maria Sholokhova vs Anna Rogers Match O/U 23.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Decatur: Maria Sholokhova vs Anna Rogers Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Decatur: Maria Sholokhova vs Anna Rogers Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Decatur: Maria Sholokhova vs Anna Rogers Match O/U 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Decatur: Maria Sholokhova vs Anna Rogers Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 13

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the ITF Women's tennis match between Maria Sholokhova and Anna Rogers in Decatur. Across Polymarket and Kalshi, the consensus probability stands at 100.0% for Maria Sholokhova to advance. The match was originally scheduled for June 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET, with resolution based on the ITF Tennis official tournament calendar. Watch for the match completion on or around June 10, 2026, as the resolution hinges on whether the match is played to completion or affected by forfeit or retirement.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket requires full match completion through normal play (forfeits/retirements resolve No), while Kalshi accepts any outcome after a ball is played (including retirements/defaults resolve Yes). This creates opposite resolution outcomes in incomplete-match scenarios.Hero tip: If the match begins but ends via retirement, default, or disqualification before completion, Polymarket's completion market resolves No while Kalshi's any-ball-played market resolves Yes. Monitor match status closely. For Polymarket's head-to-head and set markets, retirements after set completion may resolve differently than Kalshi. Cross-platform arbitrage risk exists if match does not finish normally.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Match Completion Standard: Requires all games and sets to be played to completion through normal play. Forfeits, walkovers, retirements, and defaults all resolve to No. Incomplete matches resolve to No. Cancellations and delays beyond 7 days resolve to No. Key Quote: 'If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve No.'
  • Kalshi: Any Ball Played Standard: Resolves Yes if either player wins after a ball has been played, explicitly including retirement and default scenarios. No explicit rejection of incomplete matches or forfeits. Key Quote: 'If Maria Sholokhova wins...after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. If Anna Rogers wins...after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Sholokhova and Anna Rogers in the ITF Women Decatur, originally scheduled for June 10, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Sholokhova' if Maria Sholokhova advances against Anna Rogers. This market will resolve to 'Anna Rogers' if Anna Rogers advances against Maria Sholokhova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the winner of the Sholokhova vs Rogers professional tennis match in the 2026 W35 Decatur IL Round of 32, determined after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, all markets resolve to $0.50. If a player withdraws or forfeits after the match has started, that player's market resolves to No. If the match is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi often reflect sharper, more dynamic pricing than traditional sportsbooks because they aggregate real-time trader positions without the margin constraints of bookmakers. For the Sholokhova vs Rogers match, market odds update continuously as new information emerges, whereas sportsbooks may adjust less frequently. Prediction markets typically show tighter spreads and faster reaction to player news, injuries, or court conditions. However, sportsbook odds provide regulatory oversight and guaranteed payouts, while prediction markets depend on counterparty liquidity. Comparing both sources gives you a fuller picture of true match probability.

Key catalysts include recent tournament results and ranking updates for both Sholokhova and Rogers, which reflect current form and confidence. Court surface conditions at the Decatur venue and weather forecasts closer to match day can favor one player's style. Head-to-head history and any coaching or injury announcements will influence trader positioning. Media coverage highlighting momentum shifts or player statements may trigger repricing. Unexpected withdrawals or schedule changes could also move odds. Additionally, results from other concurrent ITF events involving either player may provide fresh data on their current fitness and mental state, prompting market adjustments.