TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 3:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pepijn Bastiaansen and Matei Varbanciu in the ITF Men Curtea de Arges, originally scheduled for June 10, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pepijn Bastiaansen' if Pepijn Bastiaansen advances against Matei Varbanciu. This market will resolve to 'Matei Varbanciu' if Matei Varbanciu advances against Pepijn Bastiaansen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Bastiaansen versus Varbanciu match is priced through binary outcome contracts where traders buy and sell shares representing each player's probability of victory. The current price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief, with prices ranging from 0 to 100 cents per share. As new information emerges—such as player form, injury reports, or head-to-head history—traders adjust positions, moving prices up or down. Polymarket's order book displays depth and recent trades, allowing you to see both the consensus probability and the liquidity available at various price levels.
The market resolves on Jun 17, 2026, following the conclusion of the ITF Curtea de Arges match between Pepijn Bastiaansen and Matei Varbanciu. Resolution is determined by the official match result as recorded by the ITF and confirmed through standard sports data sources. The winning outcome contract will be settled to 100 cents per share, while the losing outcome settles to zero. Traders holding positions in the winning outcome receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake.
Several factors may shift market prices before Jun 17, 2026. Recent tournament results and win-loss streaks for both Bastiaansen and Varbanciu can signal form changes. Injury announcements or withdrawal news would dramatically reprrice the match. Head-to-head history and surface preference—particularly relevant on clay courts at Curtea de Arges—influence trader positioning. Betting volume spikes often precede major moves as informed traders enter positions. Weather forecasts and court conditions closer to match day may also affect pricing. Media coverage and expert commentary can shift sentiment, especially if notable analysts publish predictions or injury updates.