TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 8:42 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Sciahbasi and Iulius Maximus Stoica in the ITF Men Curtea de Arges, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Sciahbasi' if Matteo Sciahbasi advances against Iulius Maximus Stoica. This market will resolve to 'Iulius Maximus Stoica' if Iulius Maximus Stoica advances against Matteo Sciahbasi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Sciahbasi and Iulius Maximus Stoica in the ITF Men Curtea de Arges, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Sciahbasi' if Matteo Sciahbasi advances against Iulius Maximus Stoica. This market will resolve to 'Iulius Maximus Stoica' if Iulius Maximus Stoica advances against Matteo Sciahbasi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the decentralized nature of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on analytical models and historical data, prediction markets reflect real-time crowd sentiment and can shift more dynamically. Traders on Polymarket price outcomes based on their own research and expectations, which may lead to higher or lower implied probabilities compared to sportsbook favorites. Monitoring both can provide a broader perspective on where public and expert opinion diverge.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate of all active bets, with the implied probability adjusting based on new trading activity. Liquidity providers and speculators help narrow spreads and ensure the market remains efficient. As trading volume evolves, the odds will shift to reflect the latest consensus among participants on Polymarket, offering a transparent and dynamic pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will finalize the market based on authoritative news sources and tournament records. Traders can expect a swift resolution once the match ends, with the winning side receiving their payouts according to the settled odds. Timing is tied strictly to the match schedule and official announcements.
Injuries, weather delays, or last-minute player withdrawals could shift this market as they affect perceived chances of victory. Media coverage highlighting strong performance in practice sessions or recent form may also influence trader sentiment. As the match date approaches, any update from the tournament organizers or official social channels could cause rapid price adjustments. Keeping an eye on pre-match news and player updates will help anticipate potential movements in this market.