TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 16, 10:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesca Mattioli and Carolina Alves in the ITF Women Cuiaba, originally scheduled for June 9, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Mattioli' if Francesca Mattioli advances against Carolina Alves. This market will resolve to 'Carolina Alves' if Carolina Alves advances against Francesca Mattioli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, the Mattioli vs Alves match is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader bets into real-time odds for each player outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top outcome currently reflects market consensus, with pricing sensitive to order flow and liquidity depth. As match time approaches, prices adjust to reflect new information such as player form, head-to-head records, or surface familiarity. Polymarket's transparent order book allows traders to see all pending bids and offers, ensuring fair price discovery for this ITF women's clay-court event.
The market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 16, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official match result recorded by the ITF and confirmed through reliable sports data sources. The outcome reflects who wins the completed match between Francesca Mattioli and Carolina Alves at the Cuiaba tournament. Once the match concludes and the result is verified, the market settles automatically based on the winner. Traders holding positions on the correct outcome receive their proportional share of the pool.
Key catalysts include recent tournament results and ranking movements for both players, surface-specific performance history on clay, head-to-head records, and any announced injuries or withdrawals. Player form leading into Cuiaba can shift odds significantly, as can weather conditions affecting clay court play. News about either player's preparation, coaching changes, or confidence statements may influence trader positioning. Court assignments and match scheduling can also impact odds, particularly if one player faces a tougher prior match. Real-time updates during the tournament will drive continuous repricing on Polymarket.