TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 3:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriela Ce and Anja Casari in the ITF Women Cordenons, originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriela Ce' if Gabriela Ce advances against Anja Casari. This market will resolve to 'Anja Casari' if Anja Casari advances against Gabriela Ce. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriela Ce and Anja Casari in the ITF Women Cordenons, originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriela Ce' if Gabriela Ce advances against Anja Casari. This market will resolve to 'Anja Casari' if Anja Casari advances against Gabriela Ce. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. For this market, comparing the implied probability here to traditional sports betting lines can reveal whether one venue perceives the outcome as more or less likely. Prediction markets tend to be efficient at pricing information once volume reaches critical mass.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares representing each outcome trade continuously, and the price of each share reflects the crowd's aggregate belief about the likelihood of that result. As traders buy or sell, the price adjusts dynamically. You can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, with your entry price determined by the current order book state.
This market resolves around Jul 28, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official result of the event. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information emerges. After resolution, the market will settle and payouts will be distributed to holders of the winning outcome.
Several factors could shift trader sentiment before Jul 28, 2026. Injury announcements, recent form or head-to-head records, court conditions, and player statements can all influence perceived probabilities. Media coverage and expert commentary may also sway the crowd. Additionally, as the event date approaches, late-breaking news or lineup changes could trigger sharp price moves. Real-time updates during warm-ups or pre-match coverage often drive final adjustments as traders incorporate the freshest available information.