TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Caroline Driscoll and Thara Gowda in the ITF Women Claremont, originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Caroline Driscoll' if Caroline Driscoll advances against Thara Gowda. This market will resolve to 'Thara Gowda' if Thara Gowda advances against Caroline Driscoll. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Caroline Driscoll and Thara Gowda in the ITF Women Claremont, originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Caroline Driscoll' if Caroline Driscoll advances against Thara Gowda. This market will resolve to 'Thara Gowda' if Thara Gowda advances against Caroline Driscoll. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader belief and real-money conviction. Comparing this market's odds to traditional sportsbook lines can reveal where informed traders see value or where public perception may be mispriced. Both sources offer useful signals, but prediction markets tend to aggregate dispersed information efficiently over time.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top outcome currently reflects expectations around set-two game totals, with the contract price moving as traders buy or sell shares based on their forecasts. Liquidity and order flow directly influence the bid-ask spread; deeper liquidity typically narrows the spread and makes execution more efficient for both buyers and sellers.
This market resolves around Jul 2, 2026, once the event concludes and the outcome is verifiable from credible public reporting. The specific result—whether tied to game counts, set scores, or match winner—will be confirmed against official match records and tournament data. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final point, allowing traders to settle positions promptly. Until that time, prices will fluctuate based on live match developments and trader updates.
Live match action is the primary driver: breaks of serve, momentum shifts, and injury timeouts can all trigger sharp repricing. Early-set performance often signals player form and confidence, prompting traders to adjust odds on later-set outcomes. Player fitness, court conditions, and head-to-head patterns may also influence pre-match positioning. As the match unfolds, real-time score updates and commentary will flow into the market, creating continuous opportunities for traders to revise their positions based on unfolding events.