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ITF Ceska Lipa: Radek Chodora vs Marvin Moeller
polymarket
kalshi

ITF Ceska Lipa: Radek Chodora vs Marvin Moeller

Volume:
$29,612

Marvin Moeller

 - Kalshi

Marvin Moeller - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 5:37 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Marvin Moeller

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,084
N/A
N/A
$4,014
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Radek Chodora

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,898
N/A
N/A
$15,917
Settled
No
polymarket

ITF Ceska Lipa: Radek Chodora vs Marvin Moeller

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$554
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Ceska Lipa: Radek Chodora vs Marvin Moeller Set 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Ceska Lipa: Radek Chodora vs Marvin Moeller Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.8¢
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Ceska Lipa: Radek Chodora vs Marvin Moeller Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.8¢
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Ceska Lipa: Radek Chodora vs Marvin Moeller Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Ceska Lipa: Radek Chodora vs Marvin Moeller Match O/U 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Ceska Lipa: Radek Chodora vs Marvin Moeller Match O/U 22.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Ceska Lipa: Radek Chodora vs Marvin Moeller Match O/U 23.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Ceska Lipa: Radek Chodora vs Marvin Moeller Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 12

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Radek Chodora and Marvin Moeller in the ITF Men Ceska Lipa, originally scheduled for June 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Radek Chodora' if Radek Chodora advances against Marvin Moeller. This market will resolve to 'Marvin Moeller' if Marvin Moeller advances against Radek Chodora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi differ in how they handle match completion scenarios (walkovers, retirements, delays). Polymarket uses explicit 50-50 resolution for walkovers and delays beyond 7 days; Kalshi requires only that a ball be played for a winner to be determined.Hero tip: Monitor ITF official sources for match status. If a walkover or retirement occurs before play begins, Polymarket match winner resolves 50-50 while Kalshi may resolve Yes to the advancing player. For game and set markets, Polymarket's detailed tiebreak counting and 50-50 rules for incomplete sets are stricter than Kalshi's simpler binary framework.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Match winner resolves to advancing player if match is completed through normal play. Resolves 50-50 if match is canceled, ends in tie, delayed beyond 7 days without winner, or ends in walkover. Completion market requires all games/sets played through normal play; any forfeit, retirement, or walkover = No. Set and game markets include tiebreak counting rules and 50-50 for incomplete sets or cancellations.
  • Kalshi: Match resolves Yes if either Chodora or Moeller wins the professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Ceska Lipa Round of 32 after a ball has been played. No explicit handling of walkovers, retirements, delays, or incomplete matches.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Radek Chodora and Marvin Moeller in the ITF Men Ceska Lipa, originally scheduled for June 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Radek Chodora' if Radek Chodora advances against Marvin Moeller. This market will resolve to 'Marvin Moeller' if Marvin Moeller advances against Radek Chodora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket and Kalshi reflect real-money consensus from thousands of traders and often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate distributed belief. For this Chodora vs Moeller match, prediction markets may price in longer-tail information—recent form, head-to-head history, or court conditions—faster than sportsbooks update. Comparing the two reveals whether the market sees value the books have missed, making prediction markets a useful reference point for sharp bettors and analysts tracking professional tennis.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket and Kalshi operate with different user bases, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can create temporary price gaps. Polymarket may attract retail traders focused on tennis, while Kalshi draws institutional flow and different risk appetites. Order-book depth, recent trades, and the timing of large positions all influence where each platform's odds settle. Additionally, platform-specific incentives, promotional activity, or regional trader concentration can push one market higher or lower than the other. These spreads typically narrow as arbitrageurs trade across both venues, but gaps often persist during low-liquidity periods or ahead of major match catalysts.

Key catalysts include recent tournament results and form for both Chodora and Moeller, injury reports or withdrawal announcements, court surface conditions at Ceska Lipa, and head-to-head history. Draws and seeding updates can shift perceived difficulty. Social media, player interviews, or coaching changes may signal confidence shifts. Weather forecasts affecting play style, and betting action from professional syndicates, often move odds sharply. News of either player's performance in warm-up events or training sessions can also influence trader sentiment. Watch for late-breaking lineup changes or match postponements that could alter perceived advantage.