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ITF Castelo Branco: Iker Urribarrens Ramirez vs Goncalo Marques
polymarket
limitless

Who will win the match between Iker Urribarrens Ramirez and Goncalo Marques?

Volume:
$933

ITF Castelo Branco: Iker Urribarrens Ramirez vs Goncalo Marques

 - Polymarket

ITF Castelo Branco: Iker Urribarrens Ramirez vs Goncalo Marques - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 17, 2026

Closed: Jul 24, 7:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

ITF Castelo Branco: Iker Urribarrens Ramirez vs Goncalo Marques

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$933
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stricker

View
N/A
N/A
0.8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Completed Match

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Castelo Branco: Iker Urribarrens Ramirez vs Goncalo Marques Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Castelo Branco: Iker Urribarrens Ramirez vs Goncalo Marques Set 1 Winner

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Castelo Branco: Iker Urribarrens Ramirez vs Goncalo Marques Set 2 Winner

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Castelo Branco: Iker Urribarrens Ramirez vs Goncalo Marques Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Castelo Branco: Iker Urribarrens Ramirez vs Goncalo Marques Set Handicap +/-1.5

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Castelo Branco: Iker Urribarrens Ramirez vs Goncalo Marques Match O/U 21.5

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Castelo Branco: Iker Urribarrens Ramirez vs Goncalo Marques Total Sets: O/U 2.5

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Castelo Branco: Iker Urribarrens Ramirez vs Goncalo Marques Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Castelo Branco: Iker Urribarrens Ramirez vs Goncalo Marques Set 2 O/U 9.5

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Castelo Branco: Iker Urribarrens Ramirez vs Goncalo Marques Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Castelo Branco: Iker Urribarrens Ramirez vs Goncalo Marques Match O/U 22.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Castelo Branco: Iker Urribarrens Ramirez vs Goncalo Marques Set 1 O/U 10.5

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Castelo Branco: Iker Urribarrens Ramirez vs Goncalo Marques Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Castelo Branco: Iker Urribarrens Ramirez vs Goncalo Marques Match O/U 23.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 17

Description

This event group covers a tennis match between Iker Urribarrens Ramirez and Goncalo Marques at the ITF Men's tournament in Castelo Branco, originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. The group contains markets tracking both the match winner and whether the match completes under normal play conditions.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's two related markets (winner and completion) contain contradictory resolution logic for walkover scenarios. The winner market resolves walkover to 50-50, while the completion market resolves any forfeit (including walkover) to No, creating potential for conflicting payouts on the same underlying event.Hero tip: Treat these as two separate bets with different payoff structures. If you hold both, understand that a pre-match walkover will trigger 50-50 on the winner market but No on the completion market. Request clarification from Polymarket on whether walkover is classified as a 'forfeit' under their completion market rules. Do not assume they will resolve identically.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket (Winner Market): Resolves to the player who advances in all cases except walkover (pre-match withdrawal), which resolves to 50-50. Retirement, default, and disqualification during play resolve to the advancing player. Quote: 'If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
  • Polymarket (Completion Market): Resolves to No if match is not completed under normal play, including any forfeit (walkover, retirement, default, disqualification). Quote: 'If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve to "No."'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Iker Urribarrens Ramirez and Goncalo Marques in the ITF Men Castelo Branco, originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iker Urribarrens Ramirez' if Iker Urribarrens Ramirez advances against Goncalo Marques. This market will resolve to 'Goncalo Marques' if Goncalo Marques advances against Iker Urribarrens Ramirez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Alexander Shevchenko" if Alexander Shevchenko defeats Dominic Stricker in their Swiss Open match originally scheduled for July 16, 2026, 08:03 UTC. It will resolve to "Dominic Stricker" if Dominic Stricker defeats Alexander Shevchenko. For the purposes of this market, a player officially declared the winner of the match will be considered to have defeated the opponent, including in cases of walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market activity across Polymarket and Limitless for the Urribarrens Ramirez vs Marques tennis match. Traders on both venues are pricing the outcome of this ITF Castelo Branco contest, allowing you to monitor real-time odds, historical price movement, and cross-platform consensus. The combined view helps you spot pricing inefficiencies and track how professional and casual predictors assess each player's chances as the event approaches.

Prediction markets like those tracked here often reflect different risk profiles and trader bases than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who profit or lose based on accuracy. This can lead to sharper pricing on niche events like lower-tier tennis matches, where sportsbook coverage is sparse. However, prediction market odds may be less liquid and more volatile, especially for events with smaller trader populations.

Polymarket and Limitless may price this market differently due to variations in their user bases, fee structures, and liquidity depth. Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts traders with distinct risk appetites and information sources, so consensus on the match outcome can diverge temporarily. Additionally, differences in order-book depth and trading volume mean that large trades on one venue may move prices more sharply than on another, creating arbitrage opportunities for alert traders.

Key catalysts include recent head-to-head records, player ranking shifts, and surface-specific performance data for clay courts. Injury announcements or withdrawal news can trigger sharp repricing. Tournament draw updates and seeding changes may also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, live match commentary and set scores during play will drive intraday volatility as bettors update their expectations based on real-time performance and momentum swings.