TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 14, 10:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Federica Urgesi and Alessandra Mazzola in the ITF Women Caserta, originally scheduled for June 7, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federica Urgesi' if Federica Urgesi advances against Alessandra Mazzola. This market will resolve to 'Alessandra Mazzola' if Alessandra Mazzola advances against Federica Urgesi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks apply margins and adjust odds to manage liability, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized participant beliefs. For the Urgesi versus Mazzola match, comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to major sportsbook spreads can reveal where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers, potentially highlighting value opportunities or consensus shifts.
On Polymarket, the Urgesi versus Mazzola match is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell outcome shares. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome's price directly reflects its implied probability; a price of 0.73 means the market assigns a 73 percent chance to that result. Liquidity and recent trading activity influence how quickly prices move, and the top outcome currently reflects the market consensus. Prices remain dynamic until the match concludes and the market resolves.
The ITF Caserta: Federica Urgesi vs Alessandra Mazzola market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 14, 2026. The outcome is determined by the official result of the professional tennis match between these two players. Once the match concludes and the official winner is confirmed, the market will settle accordingly, paying out traders who backed the correct outcome and closing positions for those on the losing side.
Several factors could shift market odds for this Urgesi versus Mazzola matchup. Player injury announcements, recent tournament performance, head-to-head history, court surface conditions at Caserta, and pre-match training reports all influence trader positioning. Weather forecasts, late withdrawals, or unexpected form changes in the days before Jun 14, 2026 can trigger sharp price movements. Additionally, if either player competes in a preceding match, results and fatigue levels may prompt significant repricing on Polymarket.