TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Emma Lene and Sarah Iliev in the ITF Women Casablanca, originally scheduled for June 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emma Lene' if Emma Lene advances against Sarah Iliev. This market will resolve to 'Sarah Iliev' if Sarah Iliev advances against Emma Lene. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, the Emma Lene vs Sarah Iliev match is priced as a binary outcome reflecting the probability of match completion. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects accumulated trader positions and reflects conviction about the likelihood of the event occurring by Jun 17, 2026. Prices move as new information surfaces—such as player withdrawals, weather conditions, or court availability—and as traders adjust their positions. The spread between bid and ask prices indicates market liquidity and confidence in the outcome estimate.
The market resolves at Jun 17, 2026, marking the scheduled end of the ITF Casablanca tournament window. Resolution is determined by official match results and tournament records. The outcome reflects whether the match between Emma Lene and Sarah Iliev is completed as scheduled or affected by withdrawal, disqualification, or other tournament-level events. Traders should monitor official ITF communications and tournament updates leading up to the resolution date to stay informed of any changes to the match schedule or status.
Key catalysts include player injury announcements, withdrawal declarations, or changes to the tournament draw. Weather disruptions affecting court availability or match scheduling can shift market prices significantly. Recent performance by either player in warm-up events, ranking updates, or head-to-head history releases may influence trader positioning. Court surface conditions, player fatigue from earlier rounds, and last-minute lineup changes are also monitored closely. Official ITF statements about tournament logistics or scheduling adjustments will likely trigger repricing on Polymarket.