TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 9:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kylie Collins and Fangran Tian in the ITF Women Cary, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kylie Collins' if Kylie Collins advances against Fangran Tian. This market will resolve to 'Fangran Tian' if Fangran Tian advances against Kylie Collins. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kylie Collins and Fangran Tian in the ITF Women Cary, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kylie Collins' if Kylie Collins advances against Fangran Tian. This market will resolve to 'Fangran Tian' if Fangran Tian advances against Kylie Collins. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their liability and profit margin, while prediction markets like this one reflect pure crowd belief—traders put real money behind their forecasts with no house edge. This market aggregates thousands of independent trader decisions, which can sometimes reveal signals that traditional oddsmakers miss. However, sportsbooks employ professional analysts and may react faster to breaking news, so neither source is universally superior.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares representing each outcome trade continuously, and the price of each share reflects the collective assessment of all participants. As more traders buy shares for one outcome, its price rises and the implied probability increases. The current odds show the market's live consensus on who will win the match, updated instantly as new trades execute.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once the match concludes and the winner is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official result of the ITF Cary event—whichever player wins the match will trigger resolution in that direction. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information emerges, injuries are reported, or player form becomes clearer.
Several factors could shift odds before Jul 8, 2026. Recent tournament results, player injuries, or withdrawal announcements would immediately reshape expectations. Changes in head-to-head records, surface preference data, or fitness updates could also influence trader positioning. Weather conditions at the venue, seeding changes, or draws that affect the bracket may trigger repricing. Additionally, any news about either player's form, coaching changes, or personal circumstances could prompt traders to reassess their positions and adjust the market price.