TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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ITF Cary: Elvina Kalieva vs Lea Ma
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Elvina Kalieva vs Lea Ma?

Volume:
$453,901

Lea Ma

 - Kalshi

Lea Ma - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 8:33 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lea Ma

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$236,619
N/A
N/A
$128,522
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Cary: Elvina Kalieva vs Lea Ma Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Cary: Elvina Kalieva vs Lea Ma Match O/U 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Cary: Elvina Kalieva vs Lea Ma Match O/U 22.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Cary: Elvina Kalieva vs Lea Ma Match O/U 23.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Cary: Elvina Kalieva vs Lea Ma Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Cary: Elvina Kalieva vs Lea Ma Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Cary: Elvina Kalieva vs Lea Ma Set 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Elvina Kalieva

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$214,331
N/A
N/A
$112,409
Settled
No
polymarket

ITF Cary: Elvina Kalieva vs Lea Ma

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,725
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Cary: Elvina Kalieva vs Lea Ma Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Cary: Elvina Kalieva vs Lea Ma Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Cary: Elvina Kalieva vs Lea Ma Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Cary: Elvina Kalieva vs Lea Ma Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Cary: Elvina Kalieva vs Lea Ma Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Cary: Elvina Kalieva vs Lea Ma Set 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 17

Description

This event group covers a professional tennis match between Elvina Kalieva and Lea Ma scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET in the ITF Women's tournament in Cary, North Carolina. Markets span match completion, set/game totals, individual set winners, and handicap betting across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's completion-only logic (No on any retirement/walkover) conflicts with Kalshi's advancement-inclusive logic (Yes if a ball is played and one player advances). Additionally, Polymarket specifies a 2-hour official stats window with consensus fallback; Kalshi does not.Hero tip: If the match begins but ends via retirement, default, or disqualification before completion, Polymarket resolves No while Kalshi resolves Yes to the advancing player. This creates a direct payoff divergence. Traders should avoid cross-platform hedging and instead take directional positions aligned with their platform's rules. Monitor player injury/withdrawal news in the 24 hours before the match.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Completion-only resolution: Match must be played to full completion through normal play. Any retirement, walkover, forfeit, cancellation, tie, or 7+ day delay without completion resolves all markets to No (or 50-50 for head-to-head). Official ITF stats required; if unavailable within 2 hours post-event, consensus reporting may be used. Quote: 'If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve No.'
  • Kalshi: Advancement-inclusive resolution: Match winner resolves Yes if either player wins after a ball is played, including via opponent retirement, default, or disqualification. No explicit fallback or time window for official stats. Quote: 'If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Elvina Kalieva and Lea Ma in the ITF Women Cary, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elvina Kalieva' if Elvina Kalieva advances against Lea Ma. This market will resolve to 'Lea Ma' if Lea Ma advances against Elvina Kalieva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

This event covers the professional tennis match between Elvina Kalieva and Lea Ma in the 2026 W100 Cary NC Round of 32. Each player has a corresponding market that resolves to Yes if that player wins the match after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation, all markets resolve to $0.50. If a player withdraws or forfeits after the match has started, that player's market resolves to No. Should the match be postponed or delayed, markets remain open and will close following the rescheduled match completion within two weeks.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like these operate on real-money stakes and continuous order-book pricing, which often reflects sharper, more dynamic consensus than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set fixed or semi-fixed lines and manage liability; prediction markets let traders continuously adjust prices based on new information. For tennis matches, prediction market odds tend to react faster to injury reports, recent form, and head-to-head patterns. However, sportsbook odds may carry regulatory oversight and tighter spreads in some regions. Comparing both sources helps identify value and understand how different market structures price the same event.

Key catalysts include recent tournament results and head-to-head records for both players, injury announcements or fitness updates, court surface conditions at Cary, and seeding or draw implications. Betting action on external sportsbooks can also signal sharp money repositioning. Weather delays or schedule changes may shift trader sentiment about fatigue and momentum. Close matches involving either player in the days before this encounter could reveal form trends. Social media and tennis media coverage of pre-match analysis often precedes notable price moves on prediction platforms.