TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 5, 5:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Car and Daniel Jade in the ITF Men Carnac, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 5:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Car' if Hugo Car advances against Daniel Jade. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Jade' if Daniel Jade advances against Hugo Car. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker pricing. Sportsbooks adjust odds to manage liability and profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate thousands of independent traders' beliefs. For the ITF Carnac: Hugo Car vs Daniel Jade match, comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to major sportsbook spreads can reveal whether the crowd is more or less confident than professional oddsmakers. These differences may highlight value or consensus shifts.
On Polymarket, ITF Carnac: Hugo Car vs Daniel Jade is priced as a binary outcome contract reflecting the probability each player wins the match. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 1 cent, with the current market price representing the crowd's consensus forecast. As match conditions, player form, or injury news emerge, traders adjust positions, moving the price up or down. The final price at market close determines the implied probability used for prediction and analysis.
The ITF Carnac: Hugo Car vs Daniel Jade market resolves on Jun 5, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official match result—specifically, which player wins the singles contest at the ITF Carnac event. The market outcome is binary: either Hugo Car or Daniel Jade will be confirmed as the winner based on the final score and match completion. Traders should monitor official ITF and tournament sources for any schedule changes, withdrawals, or other developments that could affect resolution timing.
Several factors could shift odds for ITF Carnac: Hugo Car vs Daniel Jade before Jun 5, 2026. Player injury announcements, recent tournament results, or changes in form leading up to Carnac will influence trader confidence. Court conditions, weather, and head-to-head history may also trigger price moves as traders reassess win probabilities. News about either player's preparation, coaching changes, or other personal circumstances could prompt rapid repricing. Close matches in earlier rounds or unexpected upsets by either competitor may also sway market sentiment in the final days before play.