TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 3:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Stefania Bojica and Simona Ogescu in the ITF Women Bucharest, originally scheduled for June 18, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefania Bojica' if Stefania Bojica advances against Simona Ogescu. This market will resolve to 'Simona Ogescu' if Simona Ogescu advances against Stefania Bojica. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Stefania Bojica and Simona Ogescu in the ITF Women Bucharest, originally scheduled for June 18, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefania Bojica' if Stefania Bojica advances against Simona Ogescu. This market will resolve to 'Simona Ogescu' if Simona Ogescu advances against Stefania Bojica. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader conviction—there is no house edge or margin built in. This market aggregates the collective judgment of thousands of independent traders with real money at stake, which can sometimes surface insights before traditional oddsmakers adjust. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker (AMM) system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on one potential result, and the price of each outcome adjusts continuously based on supply and demand. When more traders buy Bojica shares, her price rises and Ogescu's falls, and vice versa. The market probability at any moment reflects the collective assessment of all active traders. Liquidity depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information.
This market resolves around Jun 25, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which player wins the ITF Bucharest match. Resolution occurs after the event is complete and the winner is confirmed through official tournament records or reputable sports reporting. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds fluctuate based on pre-match developments and real-time match events.
Several factors can shift odds before the match begins. Injury announcements or withdrawal news involving either player will trigger sharp repricing. Recent tournament results, head-to-head records, and surface-specific form updates all influence trader positioning. Weather conditions at the venue, court surface changes, or late lineup adjustments can also spark volatility. During the match itself, early set results and momentum swings drive real-time trading. Media coverage highlighting one player's recent struggles or strengths may prompt traders to reassess their positions, creating price movement throughout the countdown to resolution.