TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 21, 11:30 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ymerali Ibraimi and Matisse Bobichon in the ITF Men Brisbane, originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ymerali Ibraimi' if Ymerali Ibraimi advances against Matisse Bobichon. This market will resolve to 'Matisse Bobichon' if Matisse Bobichon advances against Ymerali Ibraimi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ymerali Ibraimi and Matisse Bobichon in the ITF Men Brisbane, originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ymerali Ibraimi' if Ymerali Ibraimi advances against Matisse Bobichon. This market will resolve to 'Matisse Bobichon' if Matisse Bobichon advances against Ymerali Ibraimi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by trader consensus and real-money incentives to forecast accurately. For this market, comparing the prediction market price to major sportsbook lines can reveal where professional bettors and retail traders disagree on the likely outcome. Prediction markets tend to be more efficient at incorporating late-breaking information, making them a useful cross-check against conventional betting odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on one outcome, and the price you see reflects the cumulative bets placed by all participants. As more traders buy or sell shares, the price adjusts continuously, so the odds you observe are a live consensus estimate of the match result. This mechanism ensures transparent, friction-free pricing without a traditional bookmaker setting the line.
This market resolves around Jul 22, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which player wins the ITF Brisbane match; no partial or conditional scenarios apply. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final point, allowing traders to settle their positions quickly. Until that time, odds may continue to shift based on pre-match developments, player news, or betting patterns.
Several factors could shift odds before the match begins. Injury announcements or withdrawal news would trigger sharp repricing, as would changes in player ranking or recent tournament performance. Court surface conditions, weather forecasts, and head-to-head history often influence trader positioning. Media coverage of either player's form, coaching changes, or personal circumstances can also sway sentiment. In the final hours before play, late money flowing into one side typically accelerates price movement, reflecting informed traders' final positioning.