TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
ITF Brasilia: Pedro Rodrigues vs Alex Hernandez
polymarket
kalshi

ITF Brasilia: Pedro Rodrigues vs Alex Hernandez

Volume:
$441,825

Alex Hernandez

 - Kalshi

Alex Hernandez - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 13, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 7:10 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alex Hernandez

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$115,569
N/A
N/A
$69,971
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Brasilia: Pedro Rodrigues vs Alex Hernandez Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Brasilia: Pedro Rodrigues vs Alex Hernandez Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Brasilia: Pedro Rodrigues vs Alex Hernandez Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Brasilia: Pedro Rodrigues vs Alex Hernandez Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Pedro Rodrigues

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$323,876
N/A
N/A
$185,707
Settled
No
polymarket

ITF Brasilia: Pedro Rodrigues vs Alex Hernandez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,651
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Brasilia: Pedro Rodrigues vs Alex Hernandez Set 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Brasilia: Pedro Rodrigues vs Alex Hernandez Match O/U 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Brasilia: Pedro Rodrigues vs Alex Hernandez Match O/U 23.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Brasilia: Pedro Rodrigues vs Alex Hernandez Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Brasilia: Pedro Rodrigues vs Alex Hernandez Match O/U 22.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Brasilia: Pedro Rodrigues vs Alex Hernandez Set 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Brasilia: Pedro Rodrigues vs Alex Hernandez Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Brasilia: Pedro Rodrigues vs Alex Hernandez Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Brasilia: Pedro Rodrigues vs Alex Hernandez Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 17

Description

This event group covers a professional tennis match between Pedro Rodrigues and Alex Hernandez at the ITF Men's Brasilia tournament, originally scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. The group includes 30 markets on Polymarket spanning match winner, set winners, game totals, and handicaps, plus one Kalshi market on match completion after play begins.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi define match completion and winner determination differently. Polymarket distinguishes between match winner (resolves to advancing player on retirement/default) and completed match (resolves No on any forfeit), while Kalshi's single market resolves Yes if a ball is played and either player wins, without explicit forfeit exclusions.Hero tip: Monitor whether the match begins play. If it does and ends in retirement or default, Polymarket's match winner markets will resolve to the advancing player, but the completed match market will resolve No. Kalshi's market will resolve Yes. For all other outcomes (normal completion, cancellation before play, or delay beyond 7 days), both platforms align. Avoid over-hedging on the completed match market if retirement risk is high.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Match winner (Q1-Q2) resolves to the advancing player if match begins and one player retires, defaults, or is disqualified. Walkover (pre-match withdrawal) resolves 50-50. Completed match market (Q4) requires all games and sets to be played through normal play; any forfeit, retirement, or walkover resolves to No. Source: Official ITF information and credible reporting.
  • Kalshi: Match resolves Yes if either player wins after a ball has been played, with no explicit exclusion for retirements, defaults, or forfeits post-play-commencement. Source: Kalshi match completion rules (Q1).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Rodrigues and Alex Hernandez in the ITF Men Brasilia, originally scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Rodrigues' if Pedro Rodrigues advances against Alex Hernandez. This market will resolve to 'Alex Hernandez' if Alex Hernandez advances against Pedro Rodrigues. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

This event covers the Rodrigues vs Hernandez professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Brasilia Quarterfinal. Resolution requires that a ball has been played to confirm the match occurred. If the match does not occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, all markets resolve to $0.50. If a player withdraws or forfeits after the match has started, that player's market resolves to No. If the match is postponed or delayed, markets remain open and close following the rescheduled match completion within two weeks.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on peer-to-peer pricing rather than traditional sportsbook margins. Traders directly set odds by buying and selling shares, which means prices reflect real-time belief without the built-in vig that sportsbooks charge. This market's volume suggests sufficient liquidity for tight spreads, though sportsbook odds may occasionally lead or lag depending on which venue processes new information first. Prediction markets often excel at pricing niche or less-covered events where traditional bookmakers maintain wider margins, making them valuable for comparison shopping on tennis matches like this one.

Polymarket and Kalshi serve different trader demographics and operate under distinct regulatory frameworks, which can create temporary price gaps. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in liquidity, user base size, fee structures, and settlement mechanics mean that identical events can trade at different odds across venues. One platform may attract more informed tennis bettors or react faster to breaking news, while the other draws a broader retail crowd. These spreads typically narrow as arbitrageurs exploit them, but during low-volume periods or around major news, meaningful divergences can persist and represent genuine trading opportunities.

Key catalysts include player injury announcements, recent match results, ranking changes, or surface-specific performance data that traders incorporate into their models. Weather conditions closer to the event date, court assignments, and any news about player form or mental state can shift odds meaningfully. Head-to-head history and training updates may also influence positioning. Major upsets in related ITF events or shifts in broader tennis sentiment can create spillover effects. Watch for sudden volume spikes, which often signal new information entering the market and prompt repricing across both platforms.