TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 9:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marcelina Podlinska and Daria Gorska in the ITF Women Bolszewo, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marcelina Podlinska' if Marcelina Podlinska advances against Daria Gorska. This market will resolve to 'Daria Gorska' if Daria Gorska advances against Marcelina Podlinska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marcelina Podlinska and Daria Gorska in the ITF Women Bolszewo, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marcelina Podlinska' if Marcelina Podlinska advances against Daria Gorska. This market will resolve to 'Daria Gorska' if Daria Gorska advances against Marcelina Podlinska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may show different implied probabilities than major sportsbooks, particularly if one venue has sharper information or attracts different types of bettors. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest or where outlier views persist.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker pool. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the aggregate willingness of traders to take positions, with higher prices indicating greater perceived likelihood. As new information surfaces—such as injury reports or recent performance data—traders adjust their positions, moving the market price in real time. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to news.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome will reflect the official winner as confirmed by the ITF or other authoritative tennis reporting. Until that point, prices may fluctuate based on pre-match developments, player updates, and trader sentiment. Resolution is final once the event is complete and the winner is publicly documented.
Key catalysts include injury announcements, recent head-to-head records, surface conditions at the venue, and player ranking or form updates. Unexpected withdrawals or late scratches would trigger sharp repricing. Media coverage highlighting one player's momentum or weakness can shift trader positioning. Weather forecasts, if they affect play conditions, may also influence odds. As the match date approaches, any official statements from either player or the tournament organizers could prompt significant market movement.