TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 7:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Magdalena Baniak and Weronika Ewald in the ITF Women Bolszewo, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Magdalena Baniak' if Magdalena Baniak advances against Weronika Ewald. This market will resolve to 'Weronika Ewald' if Weronika Ewald advances against Magdalena Baniak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Magdalena Baniak and Weronika Ewald in the ITF Women Bolszewo, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Magdalena Baniak' if Magdalena Baniak advances against Weronika Ewald. This market will resolve to 'Weronika Ewald' if Weronika Ewald advances against Magdalena Baniak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, especially as new information emerges or trading volume shifts. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd on Polymarket sees value differently than professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current market price reflects the aggregate belief of all active traders, with each transaction updating the odds in real time. If you believe the market is underpricing or overpricing a particular outcome, you can trade against it, and your activity shifts the probability displayed on the dashboard. This continuous price adjustment mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect the actual winner of the match as documented by official tennis records and reputable sports news sources. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares based on their expectations, and prices may shift as match day approaches or if relevant news breaks.
Several factors could shift prices before resolution. Player injury reports, recent tournament performance, head-to-head records, and court surface conditions are common catalysts in tennis markets. News about either player's form, training updates, or withdrawal announcements would likely trigger sharp moves. Weather forecasts closer to the match date and any changes to tournament scheduling could also influence trader positioning. Real-time match developments, if the market remains open during play, would drive the most dramatic repricing.