TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 5, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentina Ivanov and Xinran Sun in the ITF Women Bol, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentina Ivanov' if Valentina Ivanov advances against Xinran Sun. This market will resolve to 'Xinran Sun' if Xinran Sun advances against Valentina Ivanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect decentralized trader sentiment rather than bookmaker models. Sportsbooks incorporate margin and risk management, while prediction markets aggregate real-time belief from participants with direct financial incentive to forecast accurately. For the Ivanov vs Sun match, comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers on player form, court conditions, or head-to-head dynamics.
The market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 5, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the ITF Bol women's match between Valentina Ivanov and Xinran Sun. The outcome reflects the player declared winner by the tournament organizer and governing tennis bodies. Markets typically resolve within hours of match completion once results are confirmed and reported through official channels.
Key catalysts include official injury reports or withdrawal announcements for either player, recent tournament results and ranking changes, court surface conditions at the Bol venue, head-to-head historical performance, and real-time match commentary during play. Pre-match warm-up results and player fitness updates released by the ITF or media can shift market sentiment. During the match itself, early set outcomes, break points, and momentum shifts typically trigger sharp repricing as traders update their win probability estimates based on live performance.