TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Amandine Hesse and Anastasiia Firman in the ITF Women Blois, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amandine Hesse' if Amandine Hesse advances against Anastasiia Firman. This market will resolve to 'Anastasiia Firman' if Anastasiia Firman advances against Amandine Hesse. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Amandine Hesse and Anastasiia Firman in the ITF Women Blois, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amandine Hesse' if Amandine Hesse advances against Anastasiia Firman. This market will resolve to 'Anastasiia Firman' if Anastasiia Firman advances against Amandine Hesse. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader belief and capital allocation. Sportsbooks may adjust faster to sharp money and injury news, whereas prediction markets can lag or lead depending on information flow and participant sophistication. Both serve as useful benchmarks, but neither is inherently more accurate—comparing them helps identify where consensus differs and why.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the aggregate belief of all active traders at that moment. As new information emerges—such as player form, injury updates, or head-to-head history—traders adjust their positions, pushing prices up or down. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive and incorporates the latest signals available to participants.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official result of the ITF Blois event, confirmed through established tennis databases and tournament records. Resolution hinges on identifying the winner of the match between the two players; any walkovers, disqualifications, or other irregularities are evaluated against standard tournament protocols to finalize the outcome.
Several factors may shift odds before the match takes place. Recent tournament performance, head-to-head records, and current ranking trends can influence trader confidence in either player. Injury announcements, court surface conditions, and weather forecasts closer to the event date often trigger sharp repricing. Betting action from professional syndicates or sudden shifts in public interest may also move prices. Additionally, any changes to tournament scheduling or player availability will prompt immediate market adjustments as traders reassess their positions.