TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 6:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Savano and Yassine Smiej in the ITF Men Bielsko Biala, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Savano' if Michael Savano advances against Yassine Smiej. This market will resolve to 'Yassine Smiej' if Yassine Smiej advances against Michael Savano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Savano and Yassine Smiej in the ITF Men Bielsko Biala, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Savano' if Michael Savano advances against Yassine Smiej. This market will resolve to 'Yassine Smiej' if Yassine Smiej advances against Michael Savano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect aggregated trader sentiment rather than set operator margins. While sportsbooks may incorporate broader factors like public betting trends, prediction markets price outcomes based strictly on user activity and perceived probabilities. Traders on Polymarket can therefore see shifts that respond quickly to new information, such as player injuries or weather updates, which might not be immediately reflected in sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through trader activity, where participants set odds based on their expectations for the match outcome. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate view of all traders on the platform, with price adjustments happening continuously as bets are placed and new data appears.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market accordingly based on confirmed scores from trusted sports news and event organizers.
Injuries, weather disruptions, or last-minute coaching changes could sway this market as Aug 12, 2026 approaches. Any update affecting player form or match conditions may cause traders on Polymarket to adjust their positions, shifting the implied probability of each outcome. Close-to-event news cycles and social media buzz around the competitors also frequently drive short-term volatility in trading activity and odds.