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$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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ITF Bielsko Biala: Marcel Zielinski vs Alexander Wagner
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Marcel Zielinski vs Alexander Wagner?

Volume:
$24,589

Ferencvarosi advances

 - Kalshi

Ferencvarosi advances - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 6, 2026

Closed: Aug 13, 3:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ferencvarosi advances

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,022
N/A
N/A
$7,727
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Bielsko Biala: Marcel Zielinski vs Alexander Wagner

100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,882
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Gornik Zabrze advances

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,685
N/A
N/A
$9,950
Settled
No
polymarket

Completed Match

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Bielsko Biala: Marcel Zielinski vs Alexander Wagner Set 1 O/U 8.5

0%
69%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Bielsko Biala: Marcel Zielinski vs Alexander Wagner Total Sets: O/U 2.5

100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Bielsko Biala: Marcel Zielinski vs Alexander Wagner Set 2 O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Bielsko Biala: Marcel Zielinski vs Alexander Wagner Set 1 Winner

100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Bielsko Biala: Marcel Zielinski vs Alexander Wagner Set 2 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Bielsko Biala: Marcel Zielinski vs Alexander Wagner Match O/U 21.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Bielsko Biala: Marcel Zielinski vs Alexander Wagner Set 1 O/U 9.5

0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Bielsko Biala: Marcel Zielinski vs Alexander Wagner Set Handicap +/-1.5

0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Bielsko Biala: Marcel Zielinski vs Alexander Wagner Set 2 O/U 9.5

0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Bielsko Biala: Marcel Zielinski vs Alexander Wagner Match O/U 22.5

0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Bielsko Biala: Marcel Zielinski vs Alexander Wagner Set 1 O/U 10.5

0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Bielsko Biala: Marcel Zielinski vs Alexander Wagner Set 2 O/U 10.5

0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Bielsko Biala: Marcel Zielinski vs Alexander Wagner Match O/U 23.5

0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 17

Description

This event group pertains to the tennis match between Marcel Zielinski and Alexander Wagner in the ITF Men Bielsko Biala tournament, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026. The markets focus on determining the winner of the match and whether the match is completed in full.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms agree on using the ITF as the primary resolution source and share consistent rules for match completion, cancellations, and special cases like walkovers and retirements.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from the International Tennis Federation (ITF)

Core resolution logic:

  • If the match concludes with a clear winner, resolve to that player
  • If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days without a winner, resolve to 50-50 or 'No' as per market-specific rules
  • Walkovers, retirements, and defaults result in a 50-50 split or 'No'

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Not Completed: If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement or default, resolve to the advancing player. If the match is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, resolve to 50-50 or 'No' depending on the market.
  • Walkover: If a player withdraws before the match starts, the market resolves to 50-50.
Timing: Resolution occurs once the ITF officially reports the match result, or after a consensus of credible reports if the ITF does not publish within 2 hours of the event's conclusion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Marcel Zielinski and Alexander Wagner in the ITF Men Bielsko Biala, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marcel Zielinski' if Marcel Zielinski advances against Alexander Wagner. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Wagner' if Alexander Wagner advances against Marcel Zielinski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Gornik Zabrze advance past Ferencvarosi in the Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi soccer tie in the Qualification Round 3 of the Europa League, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ferencvarosi advance past Gornik Zabrze in the Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi soccer tie in the Qualification Round 3 of the Europa League, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Zielinski vs Wagner match market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the chances of different outcomes. It displays total volume of $24,589 and 24-hour volume of $22,935, letting you see consensus views across Polymarket and Kalshi. The view updates continuously, so you can monitor shifts in sentiment as the match approaches.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary due to differences in user base, trading volume, and market design. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one venue might attract more sharp traders while the other has a broader retail base, skewing probabilities. Additionally, each platform sets its own fee structure, which can influence how traders place bets and thus affect the displayed odds.