TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 4, 9:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Linus Lagerbohm and Mikolaj Migdalski in the ITF Men Bielsko Biala, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Linus Lagerbohm' if Linus Lagerbohm advances against Mikolaj Migdalski. This market will resolve to 'Mikolaj Migdalski' if Mikolaj Migdalski advances against Linus Lagerbohm. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Linus Lagerbohm and Mikolaj Migdalski in the ITF Men Bielsko Biala, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Linus Lagerbohm' if Linus Lagerbohm advances against Mikolaj Migdalski. This market will resolve to 'Mikolaj Migdalski' if Mikolaj Migdalski advances against Linus Lagerbohm. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to community-driven pricing and lower overheads. While sportsbooks may incorporate their own margins and expert adjustments, this market reflects trader sentiment directly. Bettors watching this market can spot potential value gaps, especially when trader confidence diverges from institutional lines. The dynamic nature of Polymarket allows for rapid adjustments based on new information or shifting expectations.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders manually set prices through buying and selling contracts, creating a market-driven odds scale. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate belief of participants, with liquidity and volume influencing how quickly prices adjust. As the event nears, any significant news or form updates can cause rapid shifts in these community-set odds, capturing the collective wisdom of Polymarket users.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market accordingly. Traders can monitor reputable sports news and tournament updates to anticipate when the resolution will be finalized.
Injuries, weather delays, or last-minute player withdrawals could shift this market significantly before Aug 11, 2026. Media coverage of recent form, training updates, or head-to-head statistics may also influence trader sentiment. Any unexpected developments affecting either player’s readiness or performance potential are likely to trigger rapid price adjustments on Polymarket as participants reassess their positions.