TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 6:10 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Chiara Fornasieri and Oriana Gniewkowska in the ITF Women Bielsko Biala, originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chiara Fornasieri' if Chiara Fornasieri advances against Oriana Gniewkowska. This market will resolve to 'Oriana Gniewkowska' if Oriana Gniewkowska advances against Chiara Fornasieri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Chiara Fornasieri and Oriana Gniewkowska in the ITF Women Bielsko Biala, originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chiara Fornasieri' if Chiara Fornasieri advances against Oriana Gniewkowska. This market will resolve to 'Oriana Gniewkowska' if Oriana Gniewkowska advances against Chiara Fornasieri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often differ from sportsbook odds due to the speculative nature of trading and the ability for users to bet on specific outcomes in more nuanced ways. Traders may price in factors beyond standard sportsbook models, such as player form or injury updates, which can lead to variations in implied probabilities. The dynamic nature of this market allows for rapid adjustments based on new information, potentially creating divergence from more static sportsbook lines.
This market resolves around Aug 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market status accordingly based on publicly available results and match records.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 6, 2026. Key matches involving either player may affect trader sentiment, especially if there are surprises in performance or health updates. Weather conditions or surface changes for the tournament could also influence predictions. Media coverage highlighting training sessions, rankings shifts, or psychological factors might sway trader behavior. Any last-minute withdrawals or substitutions would create immediate volatility, reshaping the odds as traders reassess probabilities.