TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Giovanni Oradini and Antonio Caruso in the ITF Men Bergamo, originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Oradini' if Giovanni Oradini advances against Antonio Caruso. This market will resolve to 'Antonio Caruso' if Antonio Caruso advances against Giovanni Oradini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Giovanni Oradini and Antonio Caruso in the ITF Men Bergamo, originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Oradini' if Giovanni Oradini advances against Antonio Caruso. This market will resolve to 'Antonio Caruso' if Antonio Caruso advances against Giovanni Oradini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may reflect sharper consensus on the match outcome than traditional sportsbooks, since traders risk real capital on their conviction. Comparing this market's implied probability to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd sees edge or mispricing.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on order flow and liquidity. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects accumulated trades and positions held by the community. As match details emerge—player form, court conditions, or injury updates—traders adjust their positions, moving the price to equilibrate supply and demand. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Jul 2, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official match result as recorded by the ITF and confirmed through established tennis data sources. Until that point, prices may fluctuate based on pre-match expectations, player news, and real-time match developments. Resolution is automatic once the event is finalized and reported.
Several catalysts could shift prices before the match begins. Player injury announcements, withdrawal news, or recent performance updates in warm-up tournaments often trigger sharp repricing. Court surface conditions, weather forecasts, and head-to-head history may also influence trader positioning. During the match itself, early set results and momentum swings typically drive intraday volatility. Monitoring tennis news feeds and ITF announcements will help you anticipate moves in this market.