TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 29, 6:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Arjun Rathi and Rafalentino Ali Da Costa in the ITF Men Bali, originally scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arjun Rathi' if Arjun Rathi advances against Rafalentino Ali Da Costa. This market will resolve to 'Rafalentino Ali Da Costa' if Rafalentino Ali Da Costa advances against Arjun Rathi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arjun Rathi and Rafalentino Ali Da Costa in the ITF Men Bali, originally scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arjun Rathi' if Arjun Rathi advances against Rafalentino Ali Da Costa. This market will resolve to 'Rafalentino Ali Da Costa' if Rafalentino Ali Da Costa advances against Arjun Rathi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, with liquidity provided by participants. As new information emerges — such as player injuries or weather updates — the market price adjusts dynamically based on trader activity and consensus.
This market resolves around Aug 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will reflect the officially recorded winner of the ITF Bali tournament match, ensuring alignment with real-world results.
Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute player injuries, changes to the match schedule, weather disruptions affecting play, and recent performance metrics from either competitor in lead-up tournaments. Any unexpected developments that impact the perceived likelihood of each player’s victory may cause rapid price adjustments as traders react to new information.