TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Grigory Shebekin and Kasidit Samrej in the ITF Men Astana, originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Grigory Shebekin' if Grigory Shebekin advances against Kasidit Samrej. This market will resolve to 'Kasidit Samrej' if Kasidit Samrej advances against Grigory Shebekin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Grigory Shebekin and Kasidit Samrej in the ITF Men Astana, originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Grigory Shebekin' if Grigory Shebekin advances against Kasidit Samrej. This market will resolve to 'Kasidit Samrej' if Kasidit Samrej advances against Grigory Shebekin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect sharper, more nuanced probabilities than traditional sportsbook lines because they are driven by continuous trader activity rather than static bookmaker adjustments. While sportsbooks may lag in updating their lines, this market captures rapid shifts in sentiment, especially as match conditions, player form, or weather developments unfold. Traders should compare both sources to spot potential mispricings or momentum swings.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a decentralized process where traders submit bids and asks that determine the current implied probability. The top outcome’s chance reflects the aggregated wisdom of participants, adjusted for liquidity and recent trading volume. As the match date nears, any news about player injuries, head-to-head history, or court conditions can cause rapid re-pricing, influencing the odds dynamically.
This market resolves around Aug 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official match result, reflecting who wins the Astana tennis match. After the match concludes, the platform will finalize the market based on publicly available scores and tournament records.
In the coming weeks, this market could shift based on several key signals: player injuries or withdrawals, changes in tournament seeding, weather forecasts affecting play conditions, and recent form or performance metrics from both competitors. Media commentary, betting trends on traditional platforms, and any last-minute coaching decisions may also sway trader sentiment. As the match approaches, each update can cause notable volatility in the odds.