TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 7:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dan Brand and Ofek Shimanov in the ITF Men Astana, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dan Brand' if Dan Brand advances against Ofek Shimanov. This market will resolve to 'Ofek Shimanov' if Ofek Shimanov advances against Dan Brand. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dan Brand and Ofek Shimanov in the ITF Men Astana, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dan Brand' if Dan Brand advances against Ofek Shimanov. This market will resolve to 'Ofek Shimanov' if Ofek Shimanov advances against Dan Brand. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On sportsbooks, odds for the Dan Brand vs Shimanov match market reflect bookmaker assessments and public betting patterns, often including adjustments for risk management. In contrast, prediction market odds are set by traders on Polymarket who buy and sell contracts based on their own analysis of player form, historical performance, and court conditions. This trader-driven pricing can yield sharper or more volatile lines than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges. The difference in pricing reflects distinct mechanisms — bookmakers set prices centrally, while Polymarket users collectively price in their expectations through trading activity.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through continuous trading where users buy and sell outcome contracts. The current top chance reflects the aggregate assessment of all participants, updating instantly with each trade. Volume of $4,718 and 24-hour volume of $4,378 indicate liquidity and trader interest. As the match approaches, any shifts in player health, recent performance metrics, or weather conditions can rapidly change pricing, with the market efficiency driven entirely by participant speculation and analysis.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and winner will determine which side of the market is settled, and traders’ positions will be automatically closed based on that verified result. No additional analysis or interpretation is needed beyond the official match outcome.
In the coming weeks, several key signals may influence pricing in this market. Updates on player injuries, changes to match timing or venue conditions, and recent performance in warm-up events can all shift trader sentiment. Media commentary from coaches or analysts may also affect perceptions of favoritism. As Aug 12, 2026 approaches, any last-minute news — such as unexpected withdrawals or changes in playing surface — could produce sharp movements in odds, with traders rapidly reassessing probabilities based on the latest available information.