TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 7, 6:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Arnav Vijay Paparkar and Martin Borisiouk in the ITF Men Astana, originally scheduled for August 7, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arnav Vijay Paparkar' if Arnav Vijay Paparkar advances against Martin Borisiouk. This market will resolve to 'Martin Borisiouk' if Martin Borisiouk advances against Arnav Vijay Paparkar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arnav Vijay Paparkar and Martin Borisiouk in the ITF Men Astana, originally scheduled for August 7, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arnav Vijay Paparkar' if Arnav Vijay Paparkar advances against Martin Borisiouk. This market will resolve to 'Martin Borisiouk' if Martin Borisiouk advances against Arnav Vijay Paparkar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds can diverge noticeably because they incorporate real-time betting activity and may show sharper or more volatile pricing. While sportsbooks often balance their lines to attract equal action on both sides, this market lets participants express their beliefs freely. The resulting price may therefore appear more favorable or less favorable depending on recent trading trends. Traders should compare this market to sportsbook odds to spot potential value differences, keeping in mind that prediction market prices also respond quickly to new information and volume shifts.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders continuously submit bids and asks that determine the current implied probability for each possible outcome. The market price adjusts dynamically based on trading volume and any new information impacting perceptions of the competitors’ performance or form, capturing the collective wisdom of participants on that platform.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market status accordingly based on publicly available results.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 14, 2026. Key updates include player injuries, changes to tournament conditions, or form fluctuations revealed in lead-up matches. Media coverage highlighting strengths or weaknesses may also influence trader sentiment. As the event approaches, betting volume on Polymarket often increases, amplifying price swings. Any last-minute withdrawals or schedule adjustments would create immediate volatility. Traders should monitor official tournament announcements and real-time performance metrics to anticipate movements in this market.