TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxence Bertimon and Pietro Marino in the ITF Men Amstelveen, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxence Bertimon' if Maxence Bertimon advances against Pietro Marino. This market will resolve to 'Pietro Marino' if Pietro Marino advances against Maxence Bertimon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxence Bertimon and Pietro Marino in the ITF Men Amstelveen, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxence Bertimon' if Maxence Bertimon advances against Pietro Marino. This market will resolve to 'Pietro Marino' if Pietro Marino advances against Maxence Bertimon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, depending on whether informed traders see value the books have missed. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential analytical edges.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the aggregate willingness of participants to take positions, with share prices ranging from near zero to one dollar. Higher prices indicate stronger collective confidence in that result. As new information surfaces or trader sentiment shifts, prices adjust continuously, allowing you to enter or exit positions at market rates throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result—whether Bertimon or Marino wins the ITF Amstelveen event. Resolution happens after the event is complete and the winner is documented by recognized tennis authorities or major sports news sources, ensuring accuracy before final settlement.
Player form updates, recent match results, and injury reports can shift market odds significantly. News about court conditions, weather forecasts, or head-to-head records may influence trader positioning. Betting activity from informed participants—such as professional analysts or those with inside knowledge of player fitness—often triggers price movements. As the match date approaches, any roster changes, coaching updates, or public statements from either player could alter expectations and drive trading volume in this market.