TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Fabienne Gettwart and Margaux Maquet in the ITF Women Alkmaar, originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fabienne Gettwart' if Fabienne Gettwart advances against Margaux Maquet. This market will resolve to 'Margaux Maquet' if Margaux Maquet advances against Fabienne Gettwart. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Fabienne Gettwart and Margaux Maquet in the ITF Women Alkmaar, originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fabienne Gettwart' if Fabienne Gettwart advances against Margaux Maquet. This market will resolve to 'Margaux Maquet' if Margaux Maquet advances against Fabienne Gettwart. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show materially different probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, especially as the event approaches and new information surfaces. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs, though prediction markets tend to incorporate broader information sets and real-time adjustments from a diverse trader pool.
This market resolves around Jul 2, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official result of the ITF Alkmaar event, confirmed through established tennis records and tournament documentation. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final point, though confirmation may take slightly longer if disputes or unusual circumstances arise. Traders should monitor the event schedule and official sources to anticipate resolution timing.
Player injury announcements, recent match results, and court surface conditions can all shift market prices significantly. News about either competitor's form, ranking changes, or head-to-head history may prompt traders to reassess probabilities. Weather forecasts closer to the event date, draw announcements, or unexpected withdrawals can also trigger repricing. Additionally, large trades or sudden volume spikes sometimes signal informed positioning, prompting other traders to adjust their positions and move the overall market probability.