TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 10, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alina Granwehr and Carlota Martinez Cirez in the ITF Women Aix-Les-Bains, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alina Granwehr' if Alina Granwehr advances against Carlota Martinez Cirez. This market will resolve to 'Carlota Martinez Cirez' if Carlota Martinez Cirez advances against Alina Granwehr. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alina Granwehr and Carlota Martinez Cirez in the ITF Women Aix-Les-Bains, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alina Granwehr' if Alina Granwehr advances against Carlota Martinez Cirez. This market will resolve to 'Carlota Martinez Cirez' if Carlota Martinez Cirez advances against Alina Granwehr. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, especially as new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where professional bettors and casual traders disagree on the likely result.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective confidence of all active traders, with shares trading between 0 and 100 cents based on perceived probability. As new information surfaces or betting patterns shift, prices adjust in real time, ensuring the market continuously reprices the likelihood of each possible result in this tennis match.
This market resolves around Jul 10, 2026, once the ITF Aix-Les-Bains event concludes and the match result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official tournament records and reliable sports reporting. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds fluctuate with breaking news, player form, or other developments that might influence expectations.
Several factors could shift odds before resolution, including recent player performance, injury reports, head-to-head records, and court surface conditions at Aix-Les-Bains. Betting patterns from professional traders often signal confidence in one outcome, prompting retail traders to reassess. Weather forecasts, last-minute lineup changes, or notable upsets in related tournaments can also trigger repricing. Social media sentiment and expert commentary may influence trader behavior, causing sharp moves in either direction as the match date approaches.