TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 10:01 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the volleyball match between Italy and Sweden in the European Championship, originally scheduled for September 10 at 3:05PM ET. This market will resolve to "Italy" if Italy wins the match. It will resolve to "Sweden" if Sweden wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official CEV results.
This market refers to the volleyball match between Italy and Sweden in the European Championship, originally scheduled for September 10 at 3:05PM ET. This market will resolve to "Italy" if Italy wins the match. It will resolve to "Sweden" if Sweden wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official CEV results.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregate beliefs of informed traders. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional betting markets, especially when complex factors are at play. However, sportsbook odds can provide a useful benchmark for understanding public perception and identifying potential value in this market. Discrepancies between the two can signal opportunities for arbitrage or indicate differing levels of information available to each group.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of all participants. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of those trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Italy vs. Sweden match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who hold shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. It is important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence this market before Sep 17, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift the odds. Major upsets in other related matches or changes in public sentiment could also play a role. Furthermore, significant trading volume from well-informed traders could indicate new information or a shift in expectations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.