TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Italy vs. New Zealand - First Team to Score
polymarket

What is the result of Italy vs. New Zealand?

Volume:
$445

Italy

 - Polymarket

Italy - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 9, 2026

Closed: Sep 9, 12:52 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Italy

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$445
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

New Zealand

View
0%
92%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
86%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming match between Italy and New Zealand, scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Italy" if Italy are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "New Zealand" if New Zealand are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Italy and New Zealand, scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Italy" if Italy are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "New Zealand" if New Zealand are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Italy vs. New Zealand first-to-score market displays the current odds for each team to score first, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which indicates how much activity there has been in this market recently. Currently, the total volume is $445 and the 24-hour volume is $445. This provides a snapshot of trader sentiment and allows you to monitor the market's dynamics.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market’s odds are driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If a significant number of traders believe Italy is more likely to score first, the odds will shift accordingly, potentially diverging from sportsbook lines. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast event outcomes than traditional odds, though discrepancies can exist due to differing information and incentives.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in Italy to score first, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling shares decreases the price and probability. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.

This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Italy vs. New Zealand match. The official match result, as reported by recognized sports authorities, will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders who hold shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.

Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Italy or New Zealand would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also shift trader sentiment. Even broader factors, such as weather conditions expected on match day, or public perception of each team's recent performance, could contribute to price fluctuations. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team scoring first has the potential to move this market.