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Italy vs. Japan - First Team to Score
polymarket

What is the result of Italy vs Japan?

Volume:
N/A

Italy

 - Polymarket

Italy - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 1:15 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Italy

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Japan

View
0%
91%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
79%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming match between Italy and Japan, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Italy" if Italy are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Japan" if Japan are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Italy and Japan, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Italy" if Italy are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Japan" if Japan are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, incorporating a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate differing opinions or information available to each group. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast event outcomes, especially when a large volume of trading occurs.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a 'yes' share (Italy or Japan scores first) represents the probability of that outcome occurring, while the price of a 'no' share (neither team scores first) represents the probability of that outcome. The total value of all shares outstanding always sums to 1, ensuring a probabilistic representation of the event's possible outcomes.

This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by which team scores the first goal in the Italy vs. Japan match. If neither team manages to score during the match, the 'neither team' outcome will be considered the result. Resolution will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and fairness for all traders participating in this market.

Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding team lineups, player injuries, or changes in coaching strategies could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also introduce volatility. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected by betting patterns or expert analysis, could drive changes in the market price. Major events leading up to the match, such as pre-game interviews or tactical previews, may also contribute to price fluctuations.