TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 6:41 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether more than 1.5 goals will be scored in the Italy vs. Belgium UEFA Nations League match. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the “Italy vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5” outcome. Resolution will be determined by the official match results reported on https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/. Keep an eye on the kickoff time of the match itself on September 25th at 2:45 PM ET, as the outcome will be determined by the goals scored during that game.
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 25 at 2:45 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of an event. If significant differences appear, it may indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the outcome, or vice versa. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of participants. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all traders on the platform regarding the Italy vs. Belgium match.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Italy vs. Belgium match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Unexpected news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could all impact the perceived probability of either team winning. Significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also drive trading volume and price movements. Major upsets in other related matches or tournaments might also indirectly affect the market, as traders reassess their overall assessments of team performance and potential.