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$134.2b

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$129,159,707

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

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2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Italy vs. Belgium - First Team to Score
polymarket

What is the result of Italy vs Belgium?

Volume:
$374

Belgium

 - Polymarket

Belgium - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 25, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 6:41 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Belgium

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$73
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Neither

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$152
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Italy

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$149
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming match between Italy and Belgium, scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Italy" if Italy are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Belgium" if Belgium are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Italy and Belgium, scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Italy" if Italy are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Belgium" if Belgium are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Italy vs. Belgium first goal market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of each outcome—Italy scoring first or Belgium scoring first—changes over time. The dashboard also displays the total volume traded in this market, currently at $374, and the 24-hour volume, which is $374. This information helps you understand market sentiment and how traders are positioning themselves before the match.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each team scoring first. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there's significant public interest and active trading. It's common to see discrepancies, with this market potentially offering different probabilities for Italy or Belgium to break the deadlock.

This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Italy vs. Belgium match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any potential disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s guidelines, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all traders participating in this market.

Several factors could influence the price action in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in starting lineups, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical changes could also cause significant movement. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by pre-match analysis or expert predictions, could impact trading volume and prices. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Sep 25, 2026.