TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Italian Grand Prix Winner
kalshi

Who will win the Italian Grand Prix?

Volume:
$3,080,307

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

 - Kalshi

Andrea Kimi Antonelli - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 6, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 3:08 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

View
100%
94%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,013,400
N/A
N/A
$435,097
Settled
Yes
kalshi

George Russell

0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$538,952
N/A
N/A
$322,429
Settled
No
kalshi

Max Verstappen

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$508,669
N/A
N/A
$321,585
Settled
No
kalshi

Pierre Gasly

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$299,739
N/A
N/A
$231,090
Settled
No
kalshi

Lewis Hamilton

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$243,333
N/A
N/A
$184,494
Settled
No
kalshi

Charles Leclerc

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$131,664
N/A
N/A
$116,298
Settled
No
kalshi

Oscar Piastri

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$131,338
N/A
N/A
$117,036
Settled
No
kalshi

Lando Norris

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$129,219
N/A
N/A
$111,903
Settled
No
kalshi

Franco Colapinto

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53,488
N/A
N/A
$45,560
Settled
No
kalshi

Isack Hadjar

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,467
N/A
N/A
$14,467
Settled
No
kalshi

Alexander Albon

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,966
N/A
N/A
$5,966
Settled
No
kalshi

Liam Lawson

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,927
N/A
N/A
$2,927
Settled
No
kalshi

Carlos Sainz Jr.

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,777
N/A
N/A
$1,777
Settled
No
kalshi

Fernando Alonso

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,518
N/A
N/A
$1,518
Settled
No
kalshi

Arvid Lindblad

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,027
N/A
N/A
$1,027
Settled
No
kalshi

Oliver Bearman

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$950
N/A
N/A
$950
Settled
No
kalshi

Gabriel Bortoleto

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$691
N/A
N/A
$691
Settled
No
kalshi

Lance Stroll

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$376
N/A
N/A
$376
Settled
No
kalshi

Sergio Perez

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$245
N/A
N/A
$245
Settled
No
kalshi

Nico Hulkenberg

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$222
N/A
N/A
$222
Settled
No
kalshi

Valtteri Bottas

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
No
kalshi

Esteban Ocon

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$139
N/A
N/A
$139
Settled
No
Total markets: 22

Description

This set of markets tracks predictions for who will claim victory at the 2026 Italian Grand Prix, a key event in motorsport where drivers compete fiercely for supremacy on a historic circuit. Each market focuses on a specific driver's potential to achieve a podium finish under defined race conditions.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified driver finishes the main race in exactly first place at the 2026 Italian Grand Prix, held on its originally scheduled date of September 6, 2026. No partial or alternative outcomes—such as winning via fastest lap time, disqualification of others, or finishing positions other than first—are considered valid for resolution. All outcomes depend solely on the official race results declared by the governing authority, and any post-event adjustments, such as stewards' decisions or subsequent appeals, will be taken into account in determining the final resolution. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any formal association with the governing league, and all intellectual property related to the event belongs to its respective rights holders.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Italian Grand Prix winner market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $2,253,378. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the chances of each driver to claim victory, offering a live view of market sentiment and activity as the race approaches.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous trading where participants set the odds based on their expectations for the race outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top outcome reflects the highest traded probability, adjusted dynamically by supply and demand. Volume of $3,080,307 indicates overall interest, while recent 24-hour volume of $2,253,378 shows how actively traders are engaging with the contract. Price movements respond quickly to new information, such as practice session results or driver updates.

This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the race result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official finish order and any post-race determinations will set the final result that settles all positions in this market.

Several key signals could shift probabilities in this market before Sep 6, 2026. Practice and qualifying sessions often reveal pace differences and strategy insights that traders quickly incorporate. Driver updates—especially injuries, technical problems, or team changes—can cause rapid re-pricing. Weather forecasts for the race weekend also influence expectations, as do strategic decisions around tire compounds or fuel loads. Any major incident during the race itself will immediately impact trading dynamics right up to resolution.