TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 1:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in Croatia's HNL league between Istra 1961 and Rudes Zagreb. The result is determined solely by the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will resolve based on whether either team wins or if the match ends in a tie within this timeframe.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Istra 1961 vs Rudes Zagreb professional Croatia HNL soccer match scheduled for September 13, 2026: a win for Istra 1961, a win for Rudes Zagreb, or a tie. Each market resolves based on the final result after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends in a tie after this regulation period, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Additionally, if the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the governing rules. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the probability of each result. As such, you may find that the implied probabilities from Kalshi differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of the true likelihood of different scenarios in the Istra 1961 vs Rudes Zagreb match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. Conversely, if traders believe an outcome is improbable, the price will fall. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a market that accurately reflects the probability of each outcome occurring in the Istra 1961 vs Rudes Zagreb match.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Istra 1961 vs Rudes Zagreb match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual game result. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Sep 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could shift traders’ perceptions of the likely outcome of the Istra 1961 vs Rudes Zagreb match. Unexpected announcements from team management or significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could also cause the market to move. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the factors driving price changes and potentially inform your trading strategy.