TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 5:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vadym Ursu and Dimitar Kuzmanov in the Istanbul 3, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vadym Ursu' if Vadym Ursu advances against Dimitar Kuzmanov. This market will resolve to 'Dimitar Kuzmanov' if Dimitar Kuzmanov advances against Vadym Ursu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vadym Ursu and Dimitar Kuzmanov in the Istanbul 3, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vadym Ursu' if Vadym Ursu advances against Dimitar Kuzmanov. This market will resolve to 'Dimitar Kuzmanov' if Dimitar Kuzmanov advances against Vadym Ursu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while this market is driven purely by traders' beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If sportsbooks heavily favor one player, this market might show a more nuanced view if traders believe the match is closer than implied. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in each player's chances of winning.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Ursu vs Kuzmanov match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be resolved. The outcome will be based on the official match result, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process.
Several signals could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player fitness or strategic changes could also lead to price fluctuations. Furthermore, significant betting activity on sportsbooks, or even shifts in public opinion reflected in polls, might prompt traders to reassess their probabilities. The closer we get to Sep 16, 2026, the more sensitive this market will likely be to any new information regarding the players or the match itself.