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Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Jay Dylan Friend
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Samir Hamza Reguig vs Jay Dylan Friend?

Volume:
$1,446,173

Isaac Moreno

 - Kalshi

Isaac Moreno - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 10, 2026

Closed: Sep 8, 9:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Isaac Moreno

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$788,719
N/A
N/A
$531,277
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Jay Dylan Friend Game Spread +/-6.5

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$124
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Reginaldo Junior

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$612,089
N/A
N/A
$428,646
Settled
No
polymarket

Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Jay Dylan Friend

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,242
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Jay Dylan Friend Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Jay Dylan Friend Match O/U 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Jay Dylan Friend Match O/U 22.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Jay Dylan Friend Match O/U 23.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Jay Dylan Friend Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Jay Dylan Friend Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 19

Intro

This market tracks whether the Istanbul 3 tennis match between Samir Hamza Reguig and Jay Dylan Friend will be completed. Currently, the consensus probability of a completed match is 100.0%, aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. The official results will be sourced from the ATP Tour website (https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current) to determine the outcome. Keep an eye on the scheduled match date of September 9, 2026, as that will initiate the event window for resolution and potential impacts from retirements or disqualifications.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The platforms diverge on how incomplete matches and cancellations are resolved. Polymarket allows for resolution with incomplete matches due to retirement, while Kalshi does not.Hero tip: Be cautious about trading on completion scenarios. Polymarket offers a potential payout even with incomplete matches, while Kalshi does not. Focus on the likelihood of a full match completion when trading on Kalshi.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the player who advances if the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification. Resolves to 50-50 if the match is canceled or ends in a tie. Primary source is the ATP Tour.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to "No" if the match is not completed for any reason, including a forfeit. Resolves to "No" if the match is canceled or ends in a tie. Primary source is official event statistics.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Samir Hamza Reguig and Jay Dylan Friend in the Istanbul 3, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Samir Hamza Reguig' if Samir Hamza Reguig advances against Jay Dylan Friend. This market will resolve to 'Jay Dylan Friend' if Jay Dylan Friend advances against Samir Hamza Reguig. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Isaac Moreno wins the Moreno vs Junior professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Reginaldo Junior wins the Moreno vs Junior professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probabilities of different outcomes for the Istanbul 3 fight between Samir Hamza Reguig and Jay Dylan Friend. Currently, these platforms show a consensus view, with a combined volume of $1,446,173. The dashboard aggregates data from both venues, allowing you to see how traders are pricing the likelihood of each fighter winning. This provides a comprehensive overview of market sentiment surrounding the event, reflecting the collective predictions of participants on both Polymarket and Kalshi.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and profit margins, while prediction markets allow individuals to trade on their beliefs, leading to a more dynamic and potentially accurate price discovery process. This market benefits from the diverse perspectives of its participants, and may reflect information not yet incorporated into sportsbook lines. The 24-hour volume on this market is $1,076,592, indicating active trading.