TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 9:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marek Gengel and Christian Langmo in the Istanbul 3, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marek Gengel' if Marek Gengel advances against Christian Langmo. This market will resolve to 'Christian Langmo' if Christian Langmo advances against Marek Gengel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marek Gengel and Christian Langmo in the Istanbul 3, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marek Gengel' if Marek Gengel advances against Christian Langmo. This market will resolve to 'Christian Langmo' if Christian Langmo advances against Marek Gengel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks may set lines to encourage balanced betting, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differences in information access, analytical approaches, or simply varying opinions among bettors and market participants. Observing these differences can be insightful when assessing the potential value in either venue.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s potential results. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to changing conditions and insights related to the Gengel vs Langmo match.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Gengel vs Langmo match as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will then determine the winning outcome based on which fighter is officially recognized as the victor. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Sep 14, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match’s location or rules could also introduce volatility. Public analysis from boxing experts, shifts in betting patterns at sportsbooks, and any significant developments related to the fighters’ preparation will likely be reflected in the trading activity on Polymarket, potentially leading to substantial price changes.