TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 11:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kaya Arinc and Gabriel Ghetu in the Istanbul 3, Turkiye, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaya Arinc' if Kaya Arinc advances against Gabriel Ghetu. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Ghetu' if Gabriel Ghetu advances against Kaya Arinc. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kaya Arinc and Gabriel Ghetu in the Istanbul 3, Turkiye, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaya Arinc' if Kaya Arinc advances against Gabriel Ghetu. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Ghetu' if Gabriel Ghetu advances against Kaya Arinc. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of public attention. It's common to see this market diverge from sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available or public opinion shifts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of shares is determined by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective forecast.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Istanbul 3 match between Kaya Arinc and Gabriel Ghetu. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those who held shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in their training regimes could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes might also have an impact. Furthermore, broader trends in the players’ recent performance, or even public discussion and analysis of the match, could all contribute to fluctuations in the market price leading up to Sep 13, 2026.