TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 10:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jay Dylan Friend and Max Basing in the Istanbul 3, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jay Dylan Friend' if Jay Dylan Friend advances against Max Basing. This market will resolve to 'Max Basing' if Max Basing advances against Jay Dylan Friend. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jay Dylan Friend and Max Basing in the Istanbul 3, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jay Dylan Friend' if Jay Dylan Friend advances against Max Basing. This market will resolve to 'Max Basing' if Max Basing advances against Jay Dylan Friend. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how the wisdom of the crowd differs from professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical analysis and expert opinion, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Often, prediction markets can offer more accurate forecasts, especially when significant information isn’t yet reflected in sportsbook lines. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the larger sample size of participants in this market. It’s a fascinating way to gauge public versus expert expectations.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly adjusting to new information and changing sentiment regarding the Jay Dylan vs Max Basing match. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Jay Dylan vs Max Basing match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the event organizers. The platform will then determine the winning shares and distribute payouts accordingly. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates leading up to the resolution date.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before Sep 20, 2026. Any news regarding the condition or preparation of either Jay Dylan or Max Basing – injuries, training updates, or changes in strategy – could shift the odds. Public statements from either fighter or their teams, as well as expert analysis and predictions, can also influence trading activity. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the match, such as changes to the venue or rules, could also cause the market to react. Monitoring these factors is key to understanding potential price movements.