TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 10:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabi Boitan and Harold Mayot in the Istanbul 3, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabi Boitan' if Gabi Boitan advances against Harold Mayot. This market will resolve to 'Harold Mayot' if Harold Mayot advances against Gabi Boitan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabi Boitan and Harold Mayot in the Istanbul 3, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabi Boitan' if Gabi Boitan advances against Harold Mayot. This market will resolve to 'Harold Mayot' if Harold Mayot advances against Gabi Boitan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a certain outcome in the Boitan vs Mayot match, the prediction market odds will adjust accordingly. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before widespread public analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Boitan vs Mayot match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The market is entirely driven by supply and demand; if more people believe a particular outcome is likely, they will buy shares, driving up the price and increasing the implied probability.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Boitan vs Mayot match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The market's resolution is dependent on the completion of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Sep 16, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either Boitan or Mayot might also affect perceptions of their form and ability. Furthermore, expert analysis or public polls predicting the match outcome could also create movement. Major upsets in related tournaments or significant shifts in betting patterns on traditional sportsbooks could also impact trading activity and price discovery in this market.