TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 4:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabi Adrian Boitan and Ergi Kirkin in the Istanbul 3, Turkiye, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabi Adrian Boitan' if Gabi Adrian Boitan advances against Ergi Kirkin. This market will resolve to 'Ergi Kirkin' if Ergi Kirkin advances against Gabi Adrian Boitan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabi Adrian Boitan and Ergi Kirkin in the Istanbul 3, Turkiye, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabi Adrian Boitan' if Gabi Adrian Boitan advances against Ergi Kirkin. This market will resolve to 'Ergi Kirkin' if Ergi Kirkin advances against Gabi Adrian Boitan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd approach, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a margin for profit and may be influenced by promotional considerations. This market, however, is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell based on their individual assessments. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical analysis and expert opinions, the prediction market can dynamically adjust as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as the event draws closer.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the crowd believes is the fair probability. This dynamic pricing is unique to prediction markets and allows for a more fluid and responsive assessment of the event's potential results than traditional fixed-odds betting.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Boitan vs Kirkin match. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner and finalize the market. Traders should monitor reputable sports news outlets for the official announcement, as this will be the basis for settling all outstanding shares in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training regimes, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the players' form or strategic approaches could also cause significant price movements. Public opinion, as reflected in sports news and social media, can also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either athlete winning the Boitan vs Kirkin match has the potential to move this market.