TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 8:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Maestrelli and Maks Kasnikowski in the Istanbul 3, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Maestrelli' if Francesco Maestrelli advances against Maks Kasnikowski. This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Francesco Maestrelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Maestrelli and Maks Kasnikowski in the Istanbul 3, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Maestrelli' if Francesco Maestrelli advances against Maks Kasnikowski. This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Francesco Maestrelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, on Polymarket, reflects the collective wisdom of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market evolves based on real-money wagers and diverse opinions. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, offering opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Maestrelli vs Kasnikowski match. The platform will verify the outcome against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to their share holdings at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress leading up to this date for any potential delays or changes.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in match conditions, or updated rankings for either Francesco Maestrelli or Maks Kasnikowski could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the event itself, such as venue changes or scheduling adjustments, could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders can create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments is crucial for anyone participating in this market.