TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 11:52 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between August Holmgren and Vadym Ursu in the Istanbul 3, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'August Holmgren' if August Holmgren advances against Vadym Ursu. This market will resolve to 'Vadym Ursu' if Vadym Ursu advances against August Holmgren. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between August Holmgren and Vadym Ursu in the Istanbul 3, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'August Holmgren' if August Holmgren advances against Vadym Ursu. This market will resolve to 'Vadym Ursu' if Vadym Ursu advances against August Holmgren. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s odds evolve based on real-money wagers. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the odds can highlight areas where the market believes a sportsbook may be over or underestimating a particular outcome for the Holmgren vs Ursu match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. As more shares are traded, the price of those shares adjusts, reflecting the collective expectation of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a 'yes' share, for example, indicates the probability that the outcome will occur, as determined by the traders themselves. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated assessment of the potential results of the Holmgren vs Ursu match.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Holmgren vs Ursu match, as declared by the relevant boxing authorities. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result of this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. News regarding the fighters’ training, health, or any potential injuries could significantly shift sentiment. Unexpected announcements about changes to the fight’s rules or venue might also have an impact. Public opinion, as expressed through polls or expert analysis, could also play a role, as traders react to perceived shifts in the likelihood of either boxer winning the Holmgren vs Ursu match. Any significant developments leading up to the fight could trigger increased volume and price volatility.